Category Archives: Preps

4th Generation War Comes to a Theater Near You…

H/T Wirecutter….again!  This guy scoops a LOT of blogs!!!  Goon on him!  Original, here.  Be sure to read the comments.

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Fourth Generation War Comes to a Theater Near You

Mobs loot, burn, and vandalize while politicians advocate defunding the police. A commune was established in Seattle and turned into Lord of the Flies while government did nothing. Blacks demand equal treatment from police despite a violent crime rate many times greater than that of whites, and mainstream media will not report honestly the differences in crime rates. “Wokeness” spreads among idle youth who flunked English 101. What is going on?

What is going on, right here on American soil, is war; a new kind of war that is also very old, waged by entities other than states. I call it Fourth Generation War and, to paraphrase Leon Trotsky, you may not be interested in Fourth Generation War—but it is interested in you.

In the 1980s, when working with the Marine Corps, I came up with an intellectual framework I call the Four Generations of Modern War. Military historian Martin van Creveld’s books The Rise and Decline of the State and The Transformation of War are foundational works in my framework, which flows from one of the defining elements of the modern age, the rise of the state.

The Four Generations framework begins in 1648, when in the Peace of Westphalia the state claimed and subsequently enforced a monopoly on war. This seems automatic to us today; war means armies, navies, and air forces of a state or an alliance of states fighting similar armed forces belonging to other states.

But war’s definition was not always so narrow. Before Westphalia, many different kinds of entities fought wars: families (think of the Montagues and Capulets from Romeo and Juliet), clans, tribes, races, religions, and even business enterprises. India was conquered not by Great Britain, but by the British East India Company, a business with an army and a fleet. They used many different tools to fight; for the most part, armies and navies as we know them did not exist. Fighters ranged from every male able to carry a weapon, through poisoners inserted in a rival’s kitchen, to highly specialized mercenaries who hired themselves out to anyone with cash. The Grimaldis, whose descendents still rule Monaco, got their start as galley fleet entrepreneurs.

People fought for many different reasons, not just raison d’état (political reasons). They fought for eternal salvation, for slaves to sell, for booty, for land, for pay, and because young men with idle hands like to fight—and the local women liked fighters. War flowed not like the Arno but like the Everglades, slowly inundating everything.

The state, as it arose beginning around the year 1500, gradually put an end to this.  The state came to impose and sustain order and the safety of persons and property. War not made by states threatened that order. So, the state rounded up the non-state fighters and hanged them from the nearest tree, to the loud huzzahs of the population.

The First Generation War ran from Westphalia to about the middle of the 19th century. I discuss this period in detail  in my book co-authored with Lt. Col. Gregory A. Thiele, 4th Generation Warfare Handbook (2015). It was a time characterized by tactics of line and column, which led to (for the most part) orderly battlefields which led in turn to a military culture of order.

That culture continues in almost all state armed forces today. That’s a problem, because starting in the mid-19th century the battlefield became steadily more disorderly. Part of the reason state militaries now so often lose against rag-tag opponents is that they have in effect one foot on the dock and one foot on the boat.

Second and Third Generation War were both attempts to deal with the growing disorder of the battlefield, and both came out of World War I. Second Generation War was developed by the French Army. It reduced war to a highly centralized process of putting firepower on targets, a process that both upheld and required a culture of order. Third Generation War came out of the German experience in World War I. Commonly known as “Blitzkrieg” in its World War II manifestation, it sought not to control but to use the disorder of the battlefield through a military culture of maneuver, speed, decentralization, and encouragement of initiative.

When the Second and Third Generations met in 1940, the latter defeated the former in six weeks, even though the French had more and better tanks than the Germans. Ideas, not weapons, were decisive—which has not prevented the U.S. armed forces from clinging to Second Generation tactics even today. They don’t work, but no one seems to care anymore that we lose wars, so long as the money keeps flowing.

Enter Fourth Generation War. All over the world, state militaries find themselves fighting not other mirror-image state armed forces but the ghosts of premodern war. Once again, many different kinds of entities are fighting wars: clans, tribes, races, religions, businesses we call drug cartels, and so on. They use many different means, not just armies; invasion by immigration is perhaps the most dangerous. And almost always, the state armed forces, despite vast combat power superiority, lose.

At the crux of Fourth Generation War is a crisis of the legitimacy of the state. This crisis varies greatly in intensity from one state to another, but almost everywhere we see people in growing numbers transfer their primary loyalty away from the state to non-state entities: race, religion, ideology, or political causes such as animal rights, etc. Many of those people, who would never fight for their state, are willing, even eager, to fight for their new primary loyalty. The consequence is that the state loses the monopoly on war it claimed at Westphalia. As van Creveld says, the key change in the Fourth Generation is not how war is fought (although that does change), but who fights and what they fight for.

That is much of what we have seen going on in our streets over the past few months. Fourth Generation War has come to a theater near you. A variety of Fourth Generation “causes” have intersected with what I call a “supply-side war.” We have millions of kids who have been cooped up for two or three months. They have no work or school. They want an excuse to go out and fight, because that is what bored young people like to do. Especially young men; young women will demonstrate but when fighting starts they usually disappear.

These youths need a cause to plead in answer to adults’ demand for “social distancing.” It doesn’t matter what the cause is; saving the pangolins could work as well as “Black Lives Matter.” Supply-side war provides the raw material in youthful fighters, while Fourth Generation War gives them something to fight for, a new primary loyalty to replace duty to country. And the state proves itself impotent against its own progeny. We have seen this same supply-side war dynamic in Libya, Syria, Iraq, Somalia, Afghanistan, and most of West Africa. Now we are seeing it in Chicago and Portland.

Conservatives know that the fall of the state is catastrophic. Life becomes, as our old friend Thomas Hobbes said, nasty, brutish, and short. A friend of mine has used Hobbes’ name as a pseudonym to pen a novel about this situation erupting in America, entitled Victoria: A Novel of Fourth Generation War (2014).

Security forces may put down individual disorders (and they should), but the only way to defeat Fourth Generation War is to restore the legitimacy of the state, to the point where it again becomes the primary loyalty of most of its citizens. What is the prospect for that in the United States of America in the year 2020? As President Trump would say, “Not good.”

We face a bifurcated culture. The elite that controls the state has for decades waged war on the common culture in the name of the ideology of cultural Marxism, also known as “wokeness.” While many Americans who cling to our historic Western, Christian culture also remain loyal to the state, their position is unsustainable because the Deep State is dominated by cultural Marxists.

Conservatives’ loyalty to America is to an America that has largely disappeared among elites. At some point, they too will transfer their primary loyalty to something other than the America we know now. Probably they will transfer it to many things, not just one, adding to the disintegrative forces working on the state.

Restoring the legitimacy of the state requires a federal government that actually cares about America “beyond the beltway,” and neither political party offers that. Washington has become a classic royal court toward the end of a dynasty. Court politics is everything; the rest of the country is only a stupid cow to be milked and beaten.

Some years ago, when I lived in D.C., I enjoyed a lunch with the third secretary of the Russian Embassy. We agreed that the United States had become a one-party state, which is something Russians know something about. The one party is the Establishment Party, and no matter which of its wings win, the Democrats or the Republicans, nothing important changes. The same people get the same old jobs, the money keeps flowing into bottomless sinkholes (welfare spending for Democrats, military spending for Republicans), everyone in town prospers and the rest of the country becomes poorer.

The 2016 presidential election broke from this script. Donald Trump, who was not a member of the one party and who dared defy cultural Marxism (any member of the Establishment who does that instantly becomes an “un-person”), grabbed the brass ring. That is the one party’s ultimate nightmare, that someone breaks their lock on policy, power, and money. The Establishment’s bitter, rabid hatred for President Trump springs from that fact and that fact alone. What he says or does is immaterial. Were he St. Francis of Assisi returned to mortal life, their vitriol toward him would be no less.

Regrettably, even if Trump wins re-election, he will be able to do little to restore the state’s legitimacy—a legitimacy he represents to many who voted for him, who in turn are further alienated from the state by the Establishment’s hatred of their champion. The one party owns the Deep State, which has served them well by sabotaging almost everything the president has tried to do. What he has attempted has often been right and good, but the list of his accomplishments is short.

The Deep State’s lock on effective action by the state makes the quest to restore its legitimacy nigh on hopeless. Only a state that works for all Americans, that effectively provides order, competent services, and gradually increasing prosperity for all, not just more riches for the royal court, can be legitimate. The one thing Americans, right and left, can probably agree on is that the chances of that occurring are slim to none.

So, is the future of the American state hopeless? Probably. I can see three possible outcomes to the crisis of legitimacy of the American state.

The first is that the dynasty falls and a competent new establishment class replaces it, one that can make the federal government work for everyone and that ceases to wage ideological war on its own people. In theory, this is possible, but I see no signs of it happening, nor any forces on the horizon that are capable of doing it. The system is so loaded against third parties that this route is effectively blocked. The Democrats are hopelessly in thrall to cultural Marxism because their base either believes in it, profits from it, or both. President Trump has shown himself incapable of remaking the Republican Party in his anti-Establishment, politically incorrect image. Could his successor do it, perhaps someone such as Tucker Carlson? Hope springs eternal, but hope is also a fool.

A second possibility is that both left and right could see the horrors that widespread Fourth Generation War on American soil would bring, step back, and work together to avoid it. There is a way to do that, by returning to American federalism as it was practiced before 1860.

When the Constitution was drafted and ratified, none of the men involved ever imagined that life in, say, Massachusetts and South Carolina would become the same. Still less did they conceive that the Constitution gave the federal government authority to make them the same. Were we to return to their understanding of federalism, we could maintain the union while accommodating cultural differences. Some states would be right, others left. If you found yourself being governed by people you despised, you would not need to fight. You could simply move. We would still be one country for foreign policy, defense, macroeconomics, and infrastructure. But leftists would be free to misrule the West Coast to their hearts’ content, while conservatives enjoyed the neighborliness and good food of the Old South.

The third and most likely possibility is that the country breaks apart in widespread Fourth Generation War. Welcome to Libya, Syria, and a growing portion of the world.

If the third possibility becomes reality and America as we know it disappears from the world’s landscape, its vanishing will be part of something larger: the end of the modern age that gave birth to the state.

As the late Jeffrey Hart wrote, the modern age began when Western men discarded metaphysics and said, in effect, “We are no longer interested in questions of ultimate meaning; from now on, we care only about the physical world.” From that time onward, a focus on the practical defined modernity. Out of it came ships that could cross oceans and navigation to guide them; steam power, then electricity, medicine that allowed Western men to live anywhere in the world; and, by the beginning of the 20th century, world domination by the Christian West.

We threw away that domination in three great Western civil wars: World War I, World War II, and the Cold War. Now, the West is just one contending culture among many, the state to which the West gave birth is failing everywhere, and the questions of ultimate meaning that modernity discarded are returning to haunt its senescence.

Can the times be redeemed? Probably not, but as men of the West, we must try.

William Lind

 

William S. Lind is a columnist for The American Conservative and the agent for Thomas Hobbes’s novel Victoria, which is a follow-on to his earlier smash hit, Leviathan.

Last Window of Opportunity to Prep for November…

H/T Wirecutter.

For all of your friends and families stuck in a Hamster Wheel called, ‘The Normalcy Bias’, this is really the last 2 weeks of ‘normal’ if the Left does go ‘high and right.’  Certainly this is not an ‘in stone’ list, but it’s a start, and can easily be modified based on the AO and circumstances.

For your friends/family/acquaintances that come screaming when it hits the fan, you can say, “Hey, you were warned a LOT!” and then give them a sandwich and send them on their way with instructions not to return until the crisis is over.  Cold?  No.  Practical?  Yes.  I’m betting you don’t have enough supplies to take care of the steady stream of relatives who aren’t prepped and your family as well.

As with everything, YMMV.

How to get a head start on preparing for post-election civil unrest

Only fourteen days until America’s watershed election. Some of you may be concerned that your family has not made adequate preparations for the probable civil unrest ahead.  Not to worry: here are some bare-bones suggestion that will ensure that you and your loved ones will have the basics needed for some short-term supply chain shortages.

These are suggestions that I have personally purchased for my family and our extended family.

Shop for these items at three or four different stores.  You don’t want folks to notice two or three shopping carts overflowing with obvious prep supplies.  It’s time to stay under the radar.

Water is life.  Have on hand two gallons of water a day per person for 14 days.  Do this first.

Here are the “must have” items that you will need before November 3.

  • A two-month supply of your prescription medications and your over-the counter medications.
  • 20 AA and 20 AAA batteries.
  • Two good flashlights per person plus extra batteries
  • 20 Bic lighters.
  • 25 candles. 
  • Two portable radios plus extra batteries
  • 3 rolls of Duck Tape
  • 2 extra tarps.
  • 200 feet of 550 lb. paracord.
  • An everyday carry knife for each person
  • A professional bleed/trauma first aid kit
  • 2–3 bottles unscented household bleach
 

This week, fill up your vehicles with gas, and don’t let them go under three fourths full.  Check the spare tire and buy a couple quarts of oil.  Also fill up your propane tanks.

Check to see that your cell phones’ OS and your cell phone apps are updated.

Make two copies of all your important documents and send the copies to family or friends out of state for safekeeping.

For this food section, I have attempted to generally balance the total calories — 50% carbs, 30% protein, and 20% fats.  Your mileage may vary.  Buy items that you like to eat already; avoid items that you have never tried.

Rice: 25 pounds total            

Dried Black Beans: 1- 4- or 5-pound bag

Dried Pinto Beans: 1- 4- or 5-pound bag

Dried Garbanzo Beans: 1- 4- or 5-pound bag

Dried Kidney Beans: 1- 4- or 5-pound bag

Dried Lentils: 1- 4- or 5-pound bag

All Purpose Flour (unbleached): 1- 10-pound bag per person

Yeast: 2 ounces per person

Rolled Oats: 10 pounds

Corn Bread Mix: 4 packages

Muffin Mix: 4 packages

Canned Tuna: 60 oz. total

Canned Pink Salmon: 36 oz. total

Spam or Beef Stew: 12 cans

Chili and Beans: 12 cans

Powdered Milk: 4 cups reconstituted per day per person

Powdered Hot Cocoa Mix: 2 cups reconstituted per day per person

Olive Oil: 1- 51 oz. bottle

Canola Oil: 1- 48 oz. bottle

Mayonnaise: 2- 20 oz. jars

Peanut Butter: 2- 48 oz. jars

Jam/Jelly/Honey: 3–4 large jars

Salt: 1- 26 oz. Morton Salt

Brown Sugar: 1- 32 oz. envelope

White Sugar: 1- 4- or 5-pound bag

Assorted Nuts: 1- 2.5 pound jar

Families will need to supplement this list with fresh protein, fresh vegetables, and fresh fruit as available.  You could also add canned fruit, canned vegetables, coffee, tea, crackers, coffee creamer, condiments, chocolate, and spices to this shopping list, budget willing.  With the above items you can bake bread, make tortillas with rice and beans, PB&Js and tuna sandwiches, and have some milk with every meal.

If there is only minor civil unrest, and the post-election transition is a relatively smooth process, you may choose to keep these food items for an additional six months as insurance against earthquakes or floods.  You may then decide to either slowly incorporate them into your weekly menus or donate some of these items to your local food bank.

“A journey of a thousand miles begins with having enough water in your canteen…”

………………………………

You don’t want to get there when the shelves look like this….

Grocery stores in Chicago are in crisis - Business Insider

Jack Lawson Interview on “Civil Defense Manual”

H/T to Matt Bracken on Gab.  Great Interview!!

<div class=”ifw-player” data-video-id=”5f91d8734f798c16a95d3a26″></div>https://infowarsmedia.com/js/player.js

Go here and get your copies!  Yes, COPIES!  Two volumes, 930 pages. Best $100 you’ll spend!!

 

Wisdom from WRSA…

Link, here.

https://american-remnant.com/2020/07/31/organizing-middle-american-resistance-who-will-take-the-next-step/

Keep your mouth shut.

Build your network in meatspace, far away from ALL electronics.

Protect your families and neighborhoods.

You have bought yours plus a spare, right?

https://civildefensemanual.com/product/civil-defense-manual-vols-i-ii/

So…I’ve Got a Little Disposable Income – Should I get Another Pistol or AR???

Liberal media admits: The ultimate goal is gun ...

NO.

Presuming you already have a functional pistol in a standard caliber, such as 9mm, .45ACP, .40 S&W, or 10mm, you should definitely NOT fall prey to marketing to get yet another pistol, for the following reasons:

You rarely, if ever, will leave your ‘new sidearm’ or rifle as it comes out of the box.  There’s tritium sites, better connectors, triggers, magazines, optics, etc.  You name it; upgrading your pistol or rifle will take every dime you have.  That’s fine in ‘normal’ times, but these are NOT normal times!! 

Your current stash of disposable income should, by necessity, be spent on the fuel for your current self defense weapons, meaning ‘ammo’ if you have less than 5K rounds per weapon, and then, items that will help economize your ammo expenditures, such as a good 22LR adapter for your AR’s, or dry fire tools, such as lasers, etc.

Let’s face it – it’s a LOT cheaper to shoot 200 rounds of 22LR at a 50 meter target with a 22 adapter in your AR than it is to shoot 50 rounds of 5.56NATO at a 200 meter target.  You’re practicing breathing, sight picture, sight alignment, trigger depression, and follow through; the shot is simply the aftermath of your practice when you’re on the practice range.  

When it comes to pistols/revolvers, same thing.  You may not have an adapter, but your dry fire will take care of training your eyes, hands, lungs, and the collaboration between them just as well as live fire.  

Use what funds you have on what will count most when it all becomes, ‘unobtanium.’  Remember, ‘cost’ is what you pay – ‘value’ is what you have.  Yup, ammo is through the roof expensive right now.  You’ll be glad you paid what you did today a month down the road, though.  I’d bet on it.

Different Types Of Ammunition. Bullets Of Different ...

 

 

BREAKING: Denver area “2020 is a political revolution”

Via Bracken at Gab.

This is in Denver.  These people are serious about wanting to, ‘burn in down.’  The telling statement to me is at the end, when Kristopher Jacks states that we (conservative, traditional Americans) have no idea how many people on the extreme left are armed, trained, and ready to go.  

Ya might want to consider having a gathering to discuss how you’ll defend your homes and neighborhoods.  How you’ll stop these communists from dragging your friends and families out of the house to kill them by decapitation or a death from a thousand cuts.

The normalcy bias won’t save you, your spouse, your kids, or your extended family.

The Collapse is Here…from Someone Who Lived Through One Elsewhere….

H/T Wirecutter.

Read the whole thing – and then put your thoughts in the comments.   Let’s see what our consensus is….

I Lived Through Collapse. America Is Already There.

Living in Sri Lanka during the end of the civil war, I saw how life goes on, surrounded by death

Indi Samarajiva

Indi Samarajiva

I lived through the end of a civil war — I moved back to Sri Lanka in my twenties, just as the ceasefire fell apart. Do you know what it was like for me? Quite normal. I went to work, I went out, I dated. This is what Americans don’t understand. They’re waiting to get personally punched in the face while ash falls from the sky. That’s not how it happens.

This is how it happens. Precisely what you’re feeling now. The numbing litany of bad news. The ever rising outrages. People suffering, dying, and protesting all around you, while you think about dinner. If you’re trying to carry on while people around you die, your society is not collapsing. It’s already fallen down.

I was looking through some old photos for this article and the mix is shocking to me now. Almost offensive. There’s a burnt body in front of my office. Then I’m playing Scrabble with friends. There’s bomb smoke rising in front of the mall. Then I’m at a concert. There’s a long line for gas. Then I’m at a nightclub. This is all within two weeks.

Photos from two weeks in 2006, courtesy of the author

Today I’m like, “Did we live like this?” But we did. I mean, I did. Was I a rich Colombo fuckboi while poorer people died, especially minorities? Well, yes. I wrote about it, but who cares.

The real question is, who are you? I mean, you’re reading this. You have the leisure to ponder American collapse like it’s even a question. The people really experiencing it already know.

As someone who’s already experienced societal breakdown, here’s the truth: America has already collapsed. What you’re feeling is exactly how it feels. It’s Saturday and you’re thinking about food while the world is on fire. This is normal. This is life during collapse.

Collapse does not mean you’re personally dying right now. It means y’all are dying right now. Death is sometimes close, sometimes far away, but always there. I used to judge those herds of gazelle when the lion eats one of them alive and everyone keeps going — but no, humans are just the same. That’s the real meaning of herd immunity. We’re fundamentally immune to giving a shit.

It honestly becomes mundane (for the privileged). As Colombo kids we used to go out, worry about money, fall in love — life went on. We’d pop the trunk for a bomb check. Turn off our lights for the air raids. I’m not saying that we were untouched. My friend’s dad was killed, suddenly, by a landmine. RIP Uncle Nihal. I know people who were beaten, arrested, and went into exile. But that’s not what my photostream looks like. It was mostly food and parties and normal stuff for a dumb twentysomething.

Collapse is just a series of ordinary days in between extraordinary bullshit, most of it happening to someone else. That’s all it is.

If you’re waiting for a moment where you’re like “this is it,” I’m telling you, it never comes. Nobody comes on TV and says “things are officially bad.” There’s no launch party for decay. It’s just a pileup of outrages and atrocities in between friendships and weddings and perhaps an unusual amount of alcohol.

Perhaps you’re waiting for some moment when the adrenaline kicks in and you’re fighting the virus or fascism all the time, but it’s not like that. Life is not a movie, and if it were, you’re certainly not the star. You’re just an extra. If something good or bad happens to you it’ll be random and no one will care. If you’re unlucky you’re a statistic. If you’re lucky, no one notices you at all.

Collapse is just a series of ordinary days in between extraordinary bullshit, most of it happening to someone else. That’s all it is.

One day, I was at work when someone left a bomb at the NOLIMIT clothing store. It exploded, killing 17 people. When these types of traumatic events take place, no two people experience the same thing. For me, it was seeing the phone lines getting clogged for an hour. For my wife, it was feeling the explosion a half-kilometer from her house. But for the families of the 17 victims, this was the end. And their grief goes on.

As you can see, this is not a uniform experience of chaos. For some people it destroys their bodies, others their hearts, but for most people it’s just a low-level hum at the back of their minds.

Today I assume you went to work. Bad news was everywhere, clogging up your social media, your conversations. Maybe it struck close to you. I’m sorry. Somewhere in your country, a thousand people died. I’m sorry for each of them. A thousand families are grieving tonight. A thousand more join them every day. The pain doesn’t go away, it just becomes a furniture of bones, in a thousand homes.

But that’s exactly how collapse feels. This is how I felt. This is how millions of people have felt, including many immigrants in your midst. We’re trying to tell you as loud as we can. You can get out of it, but you have to understand where you are to even turn around. This, I fear, is one of many things Americans do not understand. You tell yourself American collapse is impossible. Meanwhile, look around.

In the last three months America has lost more people than Sri Lanka lost in 30 years of civil war. If this isn’t collapse, then the word has no meaning. You probably still think of Sri Lanka as a shithole, though the war ended over a decade ago and we’re (relatively) fine. Then what does that make you?

America has fallen. You need to look up, at the people you’re used to looking down on. We’re trying to tell you something. I have lived through collapse and you’re already there. Until you understand this, you only have further to fall.