In Parts I & II, we briefly looked at the possible POI (Plan of Instruction) that might include a general OPLAN (Operations Plan) of a feral gang/group that is right now, as you read this, training to take your supplies, your weapons, your food, and your women and/or children from you during a SHTF situation. Then we looked at how they might execute the OPLAN. You can review Part I here, and Part II, here.
In Part III, we’re going to look at the minimum activities required to circumvent their activities, or, in plain language, making the cost of attacking your retreat too high. Predators always factor in the Opportunity Cost of any attack on potential prey. Always. So, you must project enough strength that the predator clearly sees an exorbitant price for initiating an attack.
You must be physically fit to withstand the rigors of constant vigilance as well as be able to engage in proactive defensive measures. Being overweight and out of shape is proportionately related to how long you can operate effectively in defensive operations. The more overweight and out of shape you are, the less you can do to ensure the lives and property of your NPT members stays secure and out of the hands of the feral gang/group who is right now salivating at the thought of taking what you have.
So, get your ever-widening ass out from behind the computer every day for a couple hours and melt off the goo. It can be done; ask me how I know.
So, let’s presume you have a good PT program and you’re maintaining your discipline in doing it. You’re strong, you’ve got your wind, and you’re eating right.
Let’s also presume you’ve got a NPT comprised of some good, serious people. This is key: If they aren’t serious, they’ll fold when SHTF. Get them serious. If they won’t, jettison them and get a replacement if possible. If not possible, it’s actually better to be without the liability then to have it with you.
Next step: AO Analysis. You need to know where you’re operating like the back of your hand. You need to know it better than the predator will. The predator will do map studies and a lot of reconnaissance to get himself oriented. You need to analyze the terrain around and in your NPT AO constantly. Every day you need to do something to learn the nuances of where you will defend. Google Earth helps, but isn’t the end all, be all. Get out and examine the land. Every avenue of approach. Every ‘dead’ area (places that you can’t shoot into). Every crappy spot that you wouldn’t want to stay in (because that’s where the predator will hide). Examine your AO from the perspective of the predator:
- If you were going to take down your own retreat, how would you do it?
- What would be the best way in (‘best’ meaning, undiscovered by the defenders until it was too late)?
- What type of attack would overwhelm the defenders quickly with little or no cost to you and your people?
- When are the NPT defenders least aware of their surroundings?
- Where are the sentry posts?
- Are the sentries loud/quiet?
- Are the sentries alert?
- Are the sentries nervous (jumpy – giving away their position)?
- Where would any security patrols lay up in a patrol base?
- Which likely avenues of approach would a relief force use to aid the retreat under attack?
After answering these (and many other questions that you can come up with by some thoughtful consideration), then you can begin training for the eventuality of attack by a feral group.
For more on intelligence studies, see Sam Culper’s site, here.
Besides SUT (Small Unit Tactics), there are other issues you need to consider (not in any particular order as all are equally important):
- Mutual Defense Alliances: Other retreats/NPT’s in the general vicinity. If you can get several retreats/NPT’s to agree that an attack on one is an attack on all, and train to that level of operations, you’re ahead of about 99.9% of most. Looking for someone to network with? The III Percent Society for America is one place to look. You can do that as soon as you join. Link is here. For $10 a month the ROI is multi-faceted! Do it and kill several birds with one stone!
- Communications: HAM radio, duress codes, FRS/GMRS, slap flares, anything that indicates an attack on one retreat of the allied NPT’s will do much to increase the cost to the predatory gang/group. See Sparks31 superb information, here.
- Aggressive Security Patrolling: In and around your AO. All. The. Time. Even if it’s just a buddy team, an aggressive patrol looking for intruders bent on hostility is essential. These patrols must know who belongs and who doesn’t. They need to be able to discriminate between hostile activity and people moving through the area with no harmful intentions. They need to not be seen by anyone other than your own allied NPT’s. To remain unseen, they need to be well-practiced in patrolling techniques, camouflage, cover, and concealment. They need to be able to use micro-terrain to move. They need to be observant, aware, and most of all, down right serious about their task. High morale (the ability to continue the mission in extreme adversity) is essential. You don’t want any malingerers on your security patrol. They should also have several ‘plays’ in their tool box on how to ‘hit and git’ if necessary. How to keep the predator engaged to buy the retreat time to get into defensive posture throughout the allied AO’s. How to report back any sightings through the SALUTE format (remember, sounding the alarm is part of the Security Patrol’s primary mission) if radio communication is not possible or jammed (that means a runner – which means PTPTPT!!). They should be well-versed in some form of empty hand and/or edged weapon like our FIN (Finish It Now) system or something similar (Sam has a very good series on CQB. You can check it out at his site, here).
- Effective Command and Control: In the individual patrols, NPT retreats, and overall in the allied AO’s. This has to be hammered out now, before SHTF. This cannot be an ego thing, either. Figure out who’s got the most experience by doing sand table exercises, training together, and if it’s not you, you should gladly subordinate yourself to the one who does. Committees will not keep you safe or win the day. You will need a commander. Make the best choice possible of the people you have. Make sure the person you pick is humble enough to step down if someone with more expertise comes along. You can bet your last round that the predator group has very rigid lines of command and control. They’ve training together for a long time; they know that if only one guy is left, who’s in command. And they follow their leader’s orders. You might want to consider the ‘bad people’s’ example on this.
- Weapons Discipline: Know how to shoot, when to shoot and where to shoot. Hips and heads are good areas to focus on. Get your basics down at a ‘square range’ and then get into some field firing. Learn your platform so that it becomes second nature. Learn other platforms as well. Learn everyone’s platform on your NPT. Be able to pick it up and use it effectively.
- Study: Read and absorb everything you can on strategy, operations, tactics, attack, defense, effective leadership (very, very important) and so forth. You should be reading every chance you get. Take notes.
- Train: Apply what you’ve learned in your own training exercises. Don’t be afraid of failure. Experiment. Come up with what you believe is ‘the’ plan, and then, once your team has it, do everything you can to beat it. Figure it out.
- Set a Realistic but Challenging Pace: Don’t burn yourself out in a couple months. Be in this for the long haul. Pace yourself. Life still must be lived, jobs attended, families and friends interacted with, and so forth. But don’t let the lie of our so far, ‘nonSHTF existence’ lull you into a state of apathy where you have all the time in the world.
Now, you’ve got a road map.
The clock is ticking…
Note: Analysis based upon scenarios presented in the book, “Doomsday Marauders,” by Kilkenny. For more information and DTG’s view of this book, go here.